What is Inflation Targeting and How Does it Stabilize Output?
I’ve discussed inflation targeting here, here, and here. Brad DeLong mentions it here, and New Economist mentions it here.
What is inflation targeting? Here's how Ben Bernanke and Frederic Mishkin describe it in "Inflation Targeting: A New framework for Monetary Policy?" (JSTOR link):
This approach is characterized, as the name suggests, by the announcement of official target ranges for the inflation rate at one or more horizons, and by the explicit acknowledgment that low and stable inflation is the overriding goal of monetary policy. Other important features of inflation targeting include increased communication with the public about the plans and objectives of the monetary policymakers, and, in many cases, increased accountability of the central bank for attaining those objectives.
From Ben S. Bernanke; Frederic S. Mishkin, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 11, No. 2. (Spring, 1997), pp. 97-116.
But
what about output stabilization, doesn’t a commitment to an inflation
target abandon output stabilization goals? The answer is no according
to new rules based approaches to monetary policy that seek to stabilize
the welfare relevant concept of the output gap.
In sticky wage
and price models instability in the general price level associated with
inflation causes relative price distortions. The relative price
distortions lead to inefficient sectoral allocations of resources and
inefficient variation in both aggregate employment and output.
Because
price stability leads to smaller price distortions and less inefficient
variation in output and employment, and less sectoral imbalance in
resource allocation, the goal of price stability is consistent with the
goal of output stability. Woodford pages 5 and 13 in the introduction, and Chapter 6, "Inflation Stabilization and Welfare" discusses this in detail.
Not
all economists agree that the Fed should commit to inflation rules as
implied by these models, but many do, and I am one of them. If the Fed
is headed towards more transparency and more commitment to inflation
targeting, and I believe that it is, then Bernanke or Hubbard, among
others, would help to steer the Fed in this direction.
Posted by Mark Thoma on Tuesday, April 5, 2005 at 12:15 PM in Economics, Inflation, Monetary Policy |
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