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Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Smallest Year over Year Change in Core Inflation Since 1957

People have been making the case that runaway inflation is just around the corner as a means of objecting to the Fed's latest plan to try to help the economy, but there's no sign of an inflation problem in the data:

Consumer Price Index Summary, BLS: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in October on a seasonally adjusted basis... As has frequently been the case in recent months, an increase in the energy index was the major factor in the ... increase. ...
The index for all items less food and energy was unchanged in October, the third month in a row with no change. ... Over the last 12 months, the index for all items less food and energy has risen 0.6 percent, the smallest 12-month increase in the history of the index, which dates to 1957. ...

The smallest 12 month increase in the history of the index and people are worried about inflation? This might be a good time to repeat this chart from the SF Fed that I've posted here in the past:

When we look back at this episode, we are going to conclude that policymakers did too little, not too much, and what they did do mostly came too late.

    Posted by on Wednesday, November 17, 2010 at 10:33 AM in Economics, Inflation | Permalink  Comments (11)


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