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Wednesday, December 16, 2015

'The Methodology of Empirical Macroeconomics'

Brad DeLong:

Must-Read: Kevin Hoover: The Methodology of Empirical Macroeconomics: The combination of representative-agent modeling and utility-based “microfoundations” was always a game of intellectual Three-Card Monte. Why do you ask? Why don’t we fund sociologists to investigate for what reasons–other than being almost guaranteed to produce conclusions ideologically-pleasing to some–it has flourished for a generation in spite of having no empirical support and no theoretical coherence?
Kevin Hoover: The Methodology of Empirical Macroeconomics: “Given what we know about representative-agent models…
…there is not the slightest reason for us to think that the conditions under which they should work are fulfilled. The claim that representative-agent models provide microfundations succeeds only when we steadfastly avoid the fact that representative-agent models are just as aggregative as old-fashioned Keynesian macroeconometric models. They do not solve the problem of aggregation; rather they assume that it can be ignored. ...

    Posted by on Wednesday, December 16, 2015 at 12:15 AM in Economics, Macroeconomics, Methodology | Permalink  Comments (6)


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