Links (1/7/19)

• Be prepared: A recession is significantly likely in the next two years - Larry Summers
• What Will Cause the Next US Recession? - J. Bradford DeLong
• From Yellow Vests to the Green New Deal - Joseph E. Stiglitz
• (Econometrics) Papers of the Moment - No Hesitations
• Using the Front-Door Criterion to Estimate Causal Effects - Marc F. Bellemare
• Make Benefit-Cost Analysis Meaningful - The Regulatory Review
• Can We Minimize Econogenic Outcomes? - EconoSpeak
• The return on information technology - VoxEU
• Global Networks and Financial Instability - Capital Ebbs and Flows
• When Alan Greenspan Worried about Overly Large Budget Surpluses - Tim Taylor
• “It's Crucial to Break Up Facebook” - ProMarket
• Central Bankers’ Fiscal Constraints - Kenneth Rogoff
• The Economics of Soaking the Rich - Paul Krugman
• Who’s Afraid of the Budget Deficit? - Paul Krugman
• The Impact of Import Tariffs on U.S. Domestic Prices - Liberty Street Economics
• We May Well Not Be at Full Employment Yet... - Brad DeLong
• Seven questions for Janet Yellen on financial stability - Brookings
• How Slogans Curate Public Opinion: Hard - Public Integrity
• Intergenerational mobility in the US - VoxEU
• Technological progress may be changing what we learn and how we trade - VoxEU
• The Fed and the New Year - Stephen Williamson
• What does the ‘Stupid Woman’ saga tell us about the media - mainly macro
• The Trump Tax Cut: Even Worse Than You’ve Heard - Paul Krugman
• Hope for a Green New Year - Paul Krugman
• The deep roots of development - Growth Economics